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Saturday, November 8, 2008

Paloma has hit Hurricane Status Cuba in Projected Path

Hurricane Paloma became an extremely dangerous Category 4 storm Saturday morning, raising the specter of destroyed buildings, downed trees and flooded streets in the Cayman Islands, Cuba and beyond.

Strong winds signal the arrival of Hurricane Paloma in George Town, Grand Cayman.

1 of 2 The storm lashed Little Cayman and Cayman Brac -- two of three islands that make up the Cayman Islands -- with heavy rain and winds that howled at speeds of up to 135 mph (217 kph), the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, said.

Forecasters expect the storm to roar on toward Cuba, possibly strengthening Saturday morning before losing some steam later Saturday and Sunday.

At 5:30 a.m. ET Saturday, the storm's center was near Cayman Brac. It was 95 miles (152 kilometers) east-northeast of Grand Cayman and about 175 miles (281 kilometers) southwest of Camaguey, Cuba, the hurricane center said.

A Category 4 hurricane can blow down trees, tear off roofs, destroy mobile homes and cause major damage to the lower floors of structures near the shore. The strongest storms are Category 5 hurricanes.

Forecasters said they expect Hurricane Paloma's center to approach the Cuban coast Saturday night or Sunday morning. They warned the hurricane also could affect people in the Bahamas and Jamaica.

J.B. Webb, a manager at a radio station on Grand Cayman, said some residents went to shelters Friday night while others shut themselves in businesses that had recently been rebuilt to withstand a Category 5 hurricane.

A hurricane warning covered the Cayman Islands as well as the Cuban provinces of Sancti Spiritus, Ciego de Avila, Camaguey and Las Tunas on Saturday, the hurricane center said. A warning means hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours.

Authorities issued a tropical storm warning for the Cuban provinces of Holguin and Santiago de Cuba.

The storm's projected path would steer it away from the U.S. mainland and out into the Atlantic.

The storm is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over the Cayman Islands and central and eastern Cuba, with 15 inches possible in some areas. Flashfloods and mudslides are possible, forecasters said.

Cuban television was broadcasting messages telling viewers not to cross swollen rivers, to avoid fallen cables, and to evacuate if told to do so by Civil Defense officials.


In Las Tunas, students in boarding schools were sent home, and the schools will be used as shelters.

Evacuations were under way in some coastal areas prone to flooding. Rice and cereal were being shipped to other parts of the country to prevent spoiling, and no tourists were being allowed to enter many areas.

Thursday, November 6, 2008

TROPICAL STORM PALOMA May become Hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Paloma, the 16th of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, formed in the Caribbean on Thursday and was expected to strengthen into a hurricane on a path that could threaten the Cayman Islands, Jamaica and Cuba, U.S. forecasters said.

The storm was located 70 miles (115 km) east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua-Honduras border at 4 a.m. EST (0800 GMT), the U.S. National Hurricane Center said. The Miami-based center said Paloma was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 miles per hour (11 kph) with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph).





Paloma could become a hurricane on Friday, it said.

A tropical storm watch was in effect from Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua, to Limon, Honduras. The watch means tropical storm conditions are possible within the area in 24 to 36 hours.

The storm was expected to pour up to 8 inches of rain over eastern Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and the Cayman Islands.

WTNT32 KNHC 061434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST THU NOV 06 2008

...PALOMA STRENGTHENING...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. THIS WATCH COULD BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.





INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...115 KM...NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 265 MILES...430 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND PALOMA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SATELLITE DATA IS 998
MB...29.47 INCHES.





PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...4 TO 8 OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...15.6 N...82.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM EST.

HURRICANE TRACKER