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Sunday, September 27, 2009

TROPICAL STORM KETSANA

MANILA HIT HARD as TROPICAL STORM KETSANA - TYPHOON ONDOY 2009 FLOODS PHILIPINES

Tropical Storm Ketsana is roaring through the Philippines and leaving chaos in its' wake. Philippine officials are reporting at least 106 people dead or missing as a result of the flooding in Manila.

Tropical Storm Ketsana - TYPHOON ONDOY battered the northern Philippines near Manila on Saturday, pouring torrential amounts of rain in just 12 hours consequently setting off the worst flooding in the Philippine capital in more than 42 years.






Philipino Woman finds safety from 2009 Manila Flood on Mattress


Philipine Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro reports army troops, police and civilian volunteers rescued more than 5,000 people - many of them were found feverishly holding onto each other as they sat on roofs and on top of buses after Tropical Storm Ketsana - TYPHOON ONDOY hit the Philipines on Saturday.

Among those dead as a result of Tropical Storm Ketsana - TYPHOON ONDOY, an Army soldier and four militiamen drowned while trying to rescue villagers in southern Laguna province.

Rescuers increased their efforts on Sunday as the skies over Manila started to clear and the rain started to let up.

The Philipine government declared a State of Emergency in metropolitan Manila and 25 storm-hit provinces, allowing Philipine officials to utilize emergency funds for the relief and rescue efforts over Tropical Storm Ketsana - TYPHOON ONDOY. Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro said.




Philipine Emergency workers are busy carrying bodies on makeshift stretchers in Marikina. One rescuer was seen lifting the small body of a child covered in mud.

A burm of mud provides resting spot for survivors of 2009 Mainla Flood 106 and counting were not so lucky



Distress calls and e-mails from thousands of residents in metropolitan Manila and their worried relatives flooded TV and radio stations overnight.

Ketsana swamped entire towns, set off landslides and shut down Manila's airport for several hours.

Military Chief General Victor Ibrado, accompanied by journalists, flew over several suburban Manila towns on Sunday on board air force helicopters and saw many people still waiting to be rescued on roofs of their houses in flooded villages.

The sun shone briefly in Manila on Sunday and showed the extent of devastation in many neighborhoods - destroyed houses, overturned vans and cars, and streets and highways covered in debris and mud.





"The water was rolling and everything happened in a flash, every minute it was rising. So I said to myself if this reaches the second floor of our house then a lot of people here would die," said resident Ronald Manlangit after watching the flood water rapidly rise up the side of his home.

The 16.7 inches of rain that swamped metropolitan Manila in just 12 hours on Saturday exceeded the 15.4-inch average for September, Cruz said, adding that the rainfall broke the previous record of 13.2 inches in a 24-hour period in June 1967.


Those fleeing the Tropical Storm Ketsana - TYPHOON ONDOY flood waters in Manila carry make shift Inner tubes life preservers



Rubbish-choked drains and waterways, along with high tide, compounded the problem, officials said.

President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo had to take an elevated commuter train to the disaster council office to preside over a meeting Saturday because roads were clogged by vehicles stuck in the floodwaters.

Ketsana, which packed winds of 53 miles per hour with gusts of up to 63 mph, hit land early on Saturday then roared across the main northern Luzon island toward the South China Sea.

Source: http://soyawannaknow.blogspot.com

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

HURRICANE FRED TROPICAL STORM LINDA UPDATE

FRED has moved from Tropical storm to a Category 2 Hurricane over night. At this point, HURRICANE FRED is expected to strengthen a little bit however HURRICANE FRED is likely to weaken and dissipate entirely before he reaches any populated land.









On the other coast, TROPICAL STORM LINDA is not expected to become much of anything and she will also weaken over the next day. It is not expected TROPICAL STORM LINDA will become HURRICANE LINDA


HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 AM AST WED SEP 09 2009

...FRED INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.7 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...
805 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.






SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FRED IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON
THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.2N 31.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB

TROPICAL STORM LINDA

TROPICAL STORM LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 AM PDT WED SEP 09 2009

...LINDA DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.4 WEST OR ABOUT
1300 MILES...2095 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.






LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME MODEST STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY....HOWEVER LINDA
IS FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.8N 128.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

TROPICAL STORM LINDA & FRED

There are two current active storm fronts, one in the Atlantic, and one in the Pacific. Tropical Storm Fred is forming in the eastern Atlantic and has plenty of time to form into Hurricane Fred as he moves along his projected path.





Tropical Storm Linda, on the other hand, is forming off the Baja and seems to be pulling some strength from the remnants of HURRICANE JIMENA. At first glance, TROPICAL STORM LINDA looks quite small, however a simple glance to the North East shows a long tail which stretches towards land. Once this is pulled into the vortex of Tropical Storm Linda, she should become a strong force to be reckoned with



TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 AM AST TUE SEP 08 2009

...FRED STRENGTHENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.3 WEST OR ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.





SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.8N 27.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB



TROPICAL STORM LINDA



TROPICAL STORM LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 08 2009






...LINDA MOVING SLOWLY WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.4 WEST OR ABOUT
1320 MILES...2125 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.1N 128.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

HURRICANE JIMENA UPDATE - Weakens to Cat 2 but still dangerous

HURRICANE JIMENA PROJECTED PATH UPDATE

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009

...JIMENA WEAKENS TO CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...SQUALLS AFFECTING THE
SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST
COAST...AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO
SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.





A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA
ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.





AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...155 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 110
MILES...175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.

JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF JIMENA
WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA WEDNESDAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR
TO LANDFALL...WITH A MORE RAPID WEAKENING THEREAFTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.

JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.






A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...23.4N 111.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA / HURRICANE ERIKA UPDATE


TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009
200 AM AST WED SEP 02 2009

...ERIKA LESS ORGANIZED BUT CENTER APPEARS TO BE CLOSER TO THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...






A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THESE
AND SOME OF THE OTHER LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.





AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7
WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

ERIKA APPEARS TO HAVE MOVED GENERALLY WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH...16
KM/HR OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION LATER THIS MORNING. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF ERIKA COULD PASS NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER
TODAY. HOWEVER MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM
ARE OCCURRING WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.






TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.0N 58.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

HURRICANE JIMENA PROJECTED PATH TO REACH ARIZONA

HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY PROJECTED PATH ADN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
800 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009

...OUTER RAINBANDS OF DANGEROUS JIMENA SPREADING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO MULEGE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM PUERTO ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND
FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST... INCLUDING CABO SAN
LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.






A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND
NORTH OF MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. THIS WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD
LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.






AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND
ABOUT 280 MILES...455 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.

JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...JIMENA WILL BE
APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND APPROACH THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA BY THURSDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT JIMENA HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
STRENGTH ARE LIKELY TODAY...AND GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.






HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.

A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.0N 110.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB

HURRICANE TRACKER