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Saturday, November 8, 2008

Paloma has hit Hurricane Status Cuba in Projected Path

Hurricane Paloma became an extremely dangerous Category 4 storm Saturday morning, raising the specter of destroyed buildings, downed trees and flooded streets in the Cayman Islands, Cuba and beyond.

Strong winds signal the arrival of Hurricane Paloma in George Town, Grand Cayman.

1 of 2 The storm lashed Little Cayman and Cayman Brac -- two of three islands that make up the Cayman Islands -- with heavy rain and winds that howled at speeds of up to 135 mph (217 kph), the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, said.

Forecasters expect the storm to roar on toward Cuba, possibly strengthening Saturday morning before losing some steam later Saturday and Sunday.

At 5:30 a.m. ET Saturday, the storm's center was near Cayman Brac. It was 95 miles (152 kilometers) east-northeast of Grand Cayman and about 175 miles (281 kilometers) southwest of Camaguey, Cuba, the hurricane center said.

A Category 4 hurricane can blow down trees, tear off roofs, destroy mobile homes and cause major damage to the lower floors of structures near the shore. The strongest storms are Category 5 hurricanes.

Forecasters said they expect Hurricane Paloma's center to approach the Cuban coast Saturday night or Sunday morning. They warned the hurricane also could affect people in the Bahamas and Jamaica.

J.B. Webb, a manager at a radio station on Grand Cayman, said some residents went to shelters Friday night while others shut themselves in businesses that had recently been rebuilt to withstand a Category 5 hurricane.

A hurricane warning covered the Cayman Islands as well as the Cuban provinces of Sancti Spiritus, Ciego de Avila, Camaguey and Las Tunas on Saturday, the hurricane center said. A warning means hurricane conditions are expected within 24 hours.

Authorities issued a tropical storm warning for the Cuban provinces of Holguin and Santiago de Cuba.

The storm's projected path would steer it away from the U.S. mainland and out into the Atlantic.

The storm is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over the Cayman Islands and central and eastern Cuba, with 15 inches possible in some areas. Flashfloods and mudslides are possible, forecasters said.

Cuban television was broadcasting messages telling viewers not to cross swollen rivers, to avoid fallen cables, and to evacuate if told to do so by Civil Defense officials.


In Las Tunas, students in boarding schools were sent home, and the schools will be used as shelters.

Evacuations were under way in some coastal areas prone to flooding. Rice and cereal were being shipped to other parts of the country to prevent spoiling, and no tourists were being allowed to enter many areas.

Thursday, November 6, 2008

TROPICAL STORM PALOMA May become Hurricane by Friday

Tropical Storm Paloma, the 16th of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, formed in the Caribbean on Thursday and was expected to strengthen into a hurricane on a path that could threaten the Cayman Islands, Jamaica and Cuba, U.S. forecasters said.

The storm was located 70 miles (115 km) east of Cabo Gracias a Dios on the Nicaragua-Honduras border at 4 a.m. EST (0800 GMT), the U.S. National Hurricane Center said. The Miami-based center said Paloma was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 miles per hour (11 kph) with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph).





Paloma could become a hurricane on Friday, it said.

A tropical storm watch was in effect from Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua, to Limon, Honduras. The watch means tropical storm conditions are possible within the area in 24 to 36 hours.

The storm was expected to pour up to 8 inches of rain over eastern Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and the Cayman Islands.

WTNT32 KNHC 061434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST THU NOV 06 2008

...PALOMA STRENGTHENING...

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS. THIS WATCH COULD BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.





INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PALOMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...115 KM...NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 265 MILES...430 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

PALOMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND PALOMA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM SATELLITE DATA IS 998
MB...29.47 INCHES.





PALOMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN HONDURAS AND NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...4 TO 8 OF RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM EST POSITION...15.6 N...82.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM EST.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Hurricane Omar Updated Info from National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida

000
WTNT45 KNHC 151451
TCDAT5
HURRICANE OMAR DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1100 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

ON ITS FINAL LEG AROUND 11Z...AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
REPORTED A PEAK SFMR SURFACE WIND OF 70 KT IN THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT OF OMAR'S EYEWALL. THIS WAS COINCIDENT WITH A NEARBY
DROPSONDE SURFACE WIND VALUE OF 68 KT...SO THE INTENSITY AT THE 12Z
SYNOPTIC TIME WAS INCREASED TO 70 KT. HOWEVER...SINCE THE LAST
RECON FLIGHT...THE EYE HAS BECOME EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY...AND ALSO IN THE SAN JUAN DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DATA AT A
RANGE OF MORE THAN 200 NMI. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE A
CONSENSUS T4.5/77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY
HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 75 KT BASED ON THE IMPROVED SATELLITE AND
RADAR SIGNATURES.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 045/08. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST OR PHILOSOPHY. OMAR IS
BASICALLY ON THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK...AND THE NHC MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ABOUT A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS IN
ABOUT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AS IT
GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF
A LARGE DEEPENING MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. A PIECE OF THE TROUGH BREAKS OFF AND LIFTS OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST IN 72-96 HOURS...WHICH BRIEFLY WEAKENS THE STEERING FLOW.
AFTER THAT...HOWEVER...THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE AHEAD OF A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE OMAR TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 35-40 KT. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WAS NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE
PREVIOUS TRACK AND REMAINS SLOWER THAN THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS.

NOW THAT A DISTINCT EYE AND EYEWALL HAVE DEVELOPED...A GOOD CHIMNEY
EFFECT CAN BE ESTABLISHED AND OMAR COULD GO THROUGH A BRIEF PERIOD
OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION AGAIN. ONLY THE GFDL MODEL IS CALLING FOR
OMAR TO STRENGTHEN TO AT LEAST 90 KT. THE REMAINDER OF THE
INTENSITY GUIDANCE HOLDS OMAR BELOW 80 KT. BASED ON THE BETTER
DEFINED EYE FEATURE...AND THE FACT THAT OMAR IS A RELATIVELY LOW
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER 29C AND WARMER SSTS...ADDITIONAL
INTENSIFICATION SIMILAR TO THE GFDL MODEL SEEMS QUITE REASONABLE.
IT ALSO ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT OMAR COULD ACHIEVE MAJOR
HURRICANE STATUS JUST BEFORE THE CYCLONE REACHES THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER...THE RAPID ENCROACHMENT OF DRY MID-LEVEL
AIR FROM THE NORTHWEST AS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
PRECLUDES EXPLICITLY FORECASTING THAT INTENSITY AT THIS TIME SINCE
THAT DRY AIR COULD MAKE IT INTO THE INNER CORE REGION IN 12-18
HOURS AND WEAKEN THE HURRICANE.

ALTHOUGH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS THE CENTER EAST OF PUERTO
RICO...ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE CURRENT MOTION
COULD REQUIRE CHANGING THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THAT ISLAND. ALSO...STRONGER WINDS...POSSIBLY ONE CATEGORY
HIGHER...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 500
FT ELEVATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 15/1500Z 15.2N 67.2W 75 KT
12HR VT 16/0000Z 16.6N 65.9W 80 KT
24HR VT 16/1200Z 19.1N 63.9W 90 KT...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
36HR VT 17/0000Z 22.0N 61.8W 90 KT
48HR VT 17/1200Z 24.7N 60.2W 85 KT
72HR VT 18/1200Z 30.0N 56.5W 75 KT
96HR VT 19/1200Z 37.0N 48.5W 65 KT
120HR VT 20/1200Z 45.0N 32.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

Stay tuned to this blog for WEB CAMERA's and WEB CAMS from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands as HURRICANE OMAR Moves in

HURRICANE OMAR Heading for Puerto Rico and The Virgin Islands

Hurricane Omar churned across the eastern Caribbean on Wednesday on a course that will take it near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the National Hurricane Center said.

Omar formed Tuesday in the eastern Caribbean and dumped heavy rain on the islands of Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao off the coast of Venezuela.

At 8 a.m. ET Wednesday, its center was about 265 miles (426 kilometers) south-southwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico.

The storm was moving northeast at near 7 mph.

Omar's maximum sustained winds were near 80 mph (129 kilometers per hour), making it a Category 1 hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 15 miles from Omar's center. Tropical storm-force winds extended 105 miles from Omar's center, forecasters said.
"Omar would move through the northern Leeward Islands late tonight and early Thursday," the hurricane center in Miami, Florida, said.






A hurricane warning is in effect for several Leeward Islands, including the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, the Puerto Rican islands of Vieques and Culebra, St. Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Barthelemy, Anguilla, St. Kitts and Nevis.

The island of Puerto Rico is under a tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch, but there could be a hurricane warning later Thursday, the hurricane center said.

A hurricane warning means hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area within the next 24 hours.

Antigua, Barbuda and Montserrat are under a tropical storm warning, meaning these locations could experience tropical storm conditions in the next 24 hours. iReport.com: Are you there? Tell us what you see

The storm's forecast track shows it heading into the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean after crossing over the Virgin Islands -- possibly as a Category 2 hurricane -- late Wednesday or early Thursday. Hurricane tracks are subject to variation, however, and predictions can change.





The storm is expected to dump up to 8 inches of rain over the Netherlands Antilles -- the chain of Caribbean islands off Venezuela's coast -- according to the NHC. Some areas could get 12 inches of rain.

Puerto Rico and some portions of the northern Leeward Islands, which include the Virgin Islands, could get up to 20 inches of rain, according to the forecast.

"These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides," the hurricane center warned.

Also, the storm could produce large swells affecting the western and southern coasts of the Lesser Antilles -- the Caribbean islands that stretch from the Virgin Islands southward to the islands off Venezuela's coast.

The swells could cause beach erosion and damage coastal structures, the hurricane center said.

Omar is the 15th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30.


The tropics remain active in the Caribbean and near Central America, as Hurricane Omar and Tropical Depression 16 continue to impact parts of the area.






Hurricane Omar

Omar strengthened to a hurricane overnight, and continues moving northeast toward the northeastern Caribbean this morning. As of 5 a.m. EDT, Hurricane Omar was located 285 miles south-southwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico, and was moving northeast at near 7 mph.

Maximum sustained winds were near 75 mph near the center, making this a category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible as Omar continues on a northeast track through tonight.

Local governments have posted hurricane watches and warnings as well as tropical storm watches and warnings for the islands in the northeastern Caribbean, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.

Conditions will begin to deteriorate in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, as outer bands begin to impact the area. On the current forecast track, Omar should pass just east of Puerto Rico tonight into early Thursday.

You can view Omar's current project path by clicking here.

As a result, expect squally weather to increase into tonight, with strong winds possible near and to the east of the center, along with heavy rain. Flash flooding and mudslides can also be expected, along with increased waves.


Tropical Depression 16

Tropical Depression 16 (winds of 30 mph) remains disorganized, but continues to bring locally heavy rain to parts of Central America. As of 5 a.m. EDT, the center of the depression was located 95 miles east of Limon, Honduras; it was moving west at 6 mph.

If the depression can remain over open waters, it could strengthen to a tropical storm (named Paloma). As a result, local governments have issued tropical storm watches and warnings for portions of the Nicaragua and Belize coasts.

Regardless if it is classified as a tropical storm, the primary threat to parts of Central America, through late week, will be heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides, especially given its slow movement.

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

HURRICANE NORBERT WEB CAMERAS - PACIFIC GULF BAJA COAST OF MEXICO





HURRICANE NORBERT is Heading towards the Baja Coast of Mexico. Veracruz seems to

be the main







MORE MEXICO PACIFIC COAST BAJA PENINSULA WEB CAMERA'S BELOW. Camera's will be

updated as they are found









































































 



Hurricane Norbert has strengthened into a Category 3

hurricane and should continue to grow as it heads toward Mexico's Baja

California peninsula, the National Hurricane Center said Wednesday.





















Forecasters expect Norbert to make landfall Saturday

along the southern Baja California peninsula.



But hurricane forecasts are unpredictable and can change

considerably.



At 5 a.m. ET Wednesday, Hurricane Norbert was about 470

miles (755 kilometers) south of the southern tip of the Baja peninsula, the

hurricane center said.



 
MORE HOUSTON WEB CAM's show the DAMAGE of

HURRICANE IKE 









Its maximum sustained wind speeds had increased to near

115 mph (185 kph).



The hurricane formed Monday night.



Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Marco weakened to a tropical

depression Tuesday, hours after making landfall over central Mexico's Gulf

Coast.



Marco or its remnants could dump 5

inches of rain over eastern portions of central Mexico, the hurricane center

said





 


NOTE: Except for the top live

player, these camera's are updated snapshots. To see the latest Camera View,

refresh your Browser Page


 
 









NOTE: Except

for the top live player, these camera's are updated snapshots. To see the latest

Camera View, refresh your Browser Page
 



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Windows were ripped out of office buildings in

downtown Houston. At the 75-story JPMorganChase tower, the tallest building

in Texas, curtains could be seen flapping in the breeze and glass shards

littered the streets below.

Power was out in much of Houston, although the

lights stayed on in the city's huge medical center, a sprawling complex with

about a dozen hospitals that attract patients from around the world.



 






HURRICANE NORBERT UPDATE - Category 2 to 3 Heading Towards Veracruz

Hurricane Norbert strengthened into a powerful Category 2 storm over the Pacific Ocean and forecasters warned that it could reach Mexico's Baja California peninsula by the weekend.

The hurricane was expected to become a major Category 3 storm on Wednesday and then turn toward the northeast on Thursday on a path that could take it over the southern Baja peninsula and the Mexican mainland, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said.





Forecasters said Norbert was moving west-northwest at 10 mph (17 kph) and by late Tuesday was located 500 miles (805 kilometers) south of Baja California's tip. It had sustained winds of near 105 mph (165 kph).

Norbert is the seventh hurricane of the east Pacific season.

On Mexico's Gulf coast, Marco weakened into a tropical depression late Tuesday after slamming into land as a tropical storm with near hurricane-force winds.

The storm hit land about 55 miles (90 kilometers) north of Veracruz.

Mexico's state oil company had shutdown of some oil platforms in the gulf and evacuated some 3,000 people ahead of Marco's arrival.





Marco was expected to dissipate overnight as it moved over Mexico's mountainous terrain, but forecasters said rains of up to 5 inches could still unleash mudslides.

Marco appeared to have largely spared water-logged southern Veracruz state, where rain-swollen rivers jumped their banks, leaving the towns of Minatitlan and Hidalgotitlan under 10 feet (3 meters) of water last week.

Veracruz state authorities closed schools and set up some 200 shelters, while soldiers and rescue officials bused people from low-lying communities.





In northern Veracruz state, authorities evacuated a hospital in the town of Misantla, where two overflowing rivers threatened with flooding it.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Newest Hurricane Developments - MARCO and NORBERT



Tropical Storm Marco was closing in on Mexico's coast early Tuesday and threatened to hit with near-hurricane strength winds later in the day.





Marco was a small tropical storm with winds extending out only up to 15 miles from the center, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.

In the Gulf of Mexico, the country's state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos, or Pemex, said Monday it had evacuated 33 workers from four offshore platforms, closed six wells and shut down a natural gas processing plant in Veracruz state ahead of Marco's arrival.

A hurricane watch and tropical storm warning were in effect for Mexico's Gulf Coast from Cabo Rojo south to Veracruz. A tropical storm warning for areas south of Veracruz was canceled early Tuesday.





Marco had maximum sustained winds near 65 mph. The storm was centered about 105 miles southeast of Tuxpan, Mexico, at 5 a.m. EDT Tuesday. The storm was moving west-northwest near 8 mph.

Mexico's Communications and Transportation Department on Monday ordered the closure to small vessels of the Gulf ports of Nautla and Alvarado.

Veracruz state authorities were setting up shelters and preparing to evacuate communities in low-lying areas still trying to recovering from heavy flooding caused by heavy rains last week.

Ranulfo Marquez, the state's top civil protection official, said 68 shelters would remain open in southern Veracruz, where rain-swollen rivers jumped their banks leaving the towns of Minatitlan and Hidalgotitlan under 10 feet.

"This will be a strong phenomenon (for the state), especially taking into account that we already have 43 rivers that have overflowed," Marquez said.

Meanwhile, on the other side of Mexico, Norbert strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane over the Pacific Ocean late Monday but forecasters said it was not expected to threaten land. The hurricane center said the hurricane was located about 585 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California.





Norbert — the seventh hurricane of the Pacific season — had maximum sustained winds near 75 mph and was moving west-northwest at 8 mph.


The U.S. National Hurricane Center says Hurricane Norbert has formed far off Mexico's Pacific coast.

The center says Norbert is centered 315 miles (510 kilometers) south-southwest of the port city of Manzanillo, and is not expected to threaten land.

The storm had winds of 75 mph (120 kph) Monday night. Forecasters said Norbert was moving west-northwest at 8 mph (13 kph) and was expected to continue that path over the next two days.

Norbert is seventh hurricane of the east Pacific.

Monday, September 29, 2008

Tropical Storm Laura

At 0900 UTC the centre of sub-tropical storm Laura was located about 1015 miles west of Fayal Island in the western Azores.



Laura is not forecast to affect any land and is only a threat to shipping interests in the north Atlantic Ocean.



The storm is moving west-northwest at close to 8 mph. A gradual turn towards northwest, then north, will an increase in forward speed is expected tomorrow.



Maximum sustained winds are near to 60 mph, with higher gusts, but strengthening is expected and Laura could make the transition to a tropical cyclone today and become a hurricane by tomorrow.



Winds of 40 mph extend outwards to 310 miles from the centre. Minimum central pressure is estimated to be 993 mb.



-------------------------------



Subtropical storm Laura forms over the north central Atlantic...



at 500 am AST...0900z...the center of subtropical storm Laura was located near latitude 37.2 north...longitude 47.3 west or about 1015 miles...1635 km...west of Fayal island in the western Azores.



The storm is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph. A gradual turn toward the northwest and north accompanied by an increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday. Laura is not forecast to affect any land areas...and the system is only a threat to shipping interests over the far North Atlantic ocean.



Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph...95 km/hr...with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours... and Laura could transition into a tropical cyclone later today and possibly become a hurricane by Tuesday.



Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 310 miles...500 km from the center.



The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.



Repeating the 500 am AST position...37.2 N...47.3 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...60 mph. Minimum central pressure...993 mb.



The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 1100 am AST.



See All NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES Below



------------------------------------------------



2008 Tropical Storms and Hurricanes - Atlantic



1. Tropical Storm Arthur formed quickly on May 31 off Belize, lost tropical storm strength in fewer than 24 hours, and brought punishing rains of 10-15 inches to parts of the Yucatán Peninsula, including Mexico and Guatemala.

















2. Hurricane Bertha formed as a tropical storm July 3 in the far eastern Atlantic, then debuted as the Atlantic's first hurricane July 7 and quickly grew to major hurricane status. By the time it affected land, July 14 in Bermuda, it was a strong tropical storm, causing rough surf and 3-5 inches of rain. It broke the record for longest-lived July storm and on July 18 reformed into a hurricane.

















3. Tropical Storm Cristobal formed on July 19 off the coast of the Carolinas. The first named storm to threaten the U.S. coast, Cristobal threatened 3-5 inches of rain and strong storm surges across South and North Carolina.















4. Hurricane Dolly reached Category 2 strength in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall near the Texas-Mexico border July 23, 2008. Heavy rains and wind led to at least one death, flooding and damage in Texas and in neighboring states that may exceed $1 billion.



















5. Tropical Storm Edouard formed August 3 in the Gulf of Mexico and though forecasters predicted strengthening and it passed by critical oil infrastructure, it was largely welcomed for relieving drought conditions in some parts of Texas and Louisiana.

























6. Tropical Storm Fay formed August 15 off the coast of the Dominican Republic and killed 35 people there and in Haiti before making a record five landfalls in Florida, where it killed 11 before moving on as a tropical depression, killing at least one in Georgia.

















7. Hurricane Gustav formed August 25 off the coast of Haiti and reached hurricane strength Aug. 26 before making landfall there. It has been blamed for dozens of deaths in the Caribbean, making it the deadliest tropical storm of 2008 in the Atlantic to date, even before it reached the Gulf Coast, where 2 million evacuated in preparation.

























8. Hurricane Hanna formed August 28 in the Central Atlantic and briefly attained hurricane strength Sept. 1. The storm was blamed for at least 163 deaths, and possibly more than 500, in Haiti. As a tropical storm, Hanna drenched the U.S. East Coast.

















9. Hurricane Ike formed September 1 and reached major Category 4 hurricane status Sept. 3. After losing some strength, Ike regained Category 4 hurricane status as it made landfall in the Bahamas Sept. 7. It has been blamed for dozens of deaths in Haiti. It devastated homes and infrastructure in Cuba, and led to more than two dozen deaths in the U.S., after it hit Texas as a Category 2 hurricane and continued through the Midwest as a large tropical depression.

















10. Tropical Storm Josephine formed Sept. 2, with both Hanna and Ike also active in the Atlantic, but dissipated before affecting land.













11. Hurricane Kyle formed Sept. 25 and hit the Canadian Maritime provinces Sept. 28.





























12. Subtropical Storm Laura formed Sept. 29 and forecasters said it could reach hurricane strength in the Northern Atlantic.













Remaining 2008 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names - Atlantic





Laura - Marco - Nana - Omar - Paloma - Rene - Sally - Teddy - Vicky - Wilfred













Sunday, September 28, 2008

Hurricane Kyle hits Canadian East Coast with a Bang

Emergency and power crews in parts of Atlantic Canada were at work Sunday evening trying to restore electricity as tropical storm Kyle swirled into the Maritimes, its high winds toppling power lines.

Kyle went ashore just north of Yarmouth, N.S. at around 9 p.m. AT as a marginal Category 1 hurricane, according to the Canadian Hurricane Centre, based in Dartmouth, N.S., downing trees and causing power outages.

As it moved north toward New Brunswick and was downgraded to a tropical storm, winds with gusts up to 110 km/h over exposed areas could still cause damage, the Hurricane Centre warned.

Nova Scotia Power said as of 11 p.m. ET some 24,000 customers were without power while another 10,000 has seen their power restored.

"We're seeing trees bringing down lines, whole trees topple over, we're seeing high winds," said Glennie Langille of Nova Scotia Power.





"We are doing as much work as we can within the conditions that we have," she said, mentioning that work had to stop whenever winds topped 90 km/h. "We've been working throughout the storm when it is safe to do so."

Dennis Kelly of Nova Scotia's Emergency Management Office said damage from the storm was not as widespread as had been feared.

NB Power meanwhile was reporting some 700 customers without power across New Brunswick as the storm moved toward the province.

The storm was expected to bring significant rainfall to most of New Brunswick where rainfall advisories have been posted, warning of 50 to 100 millimetres of rain falling in a short period of time, threatening to cause some flooding.

As of 11 p.m. AT the Hurricane Centre said tropical storm warnings were in effect for several southern New Brunswick and Nova Scotia regions, including Moncton, Saint John, Lunenburg, Shelburne, Yarmouth and Digby counties and the Bay of Fundy area.

Nova Scotia Power had put its crews on alert "right across the province" and had enlisted extra contract crews to help out in the event of widespread outages, said spokeswoman Margaret Murphy.





"The forecast shows a large severe weather system headed our way," she said. "Certainly experience shows it's best to be prepared, so we prepare for the worst and hope for the best."

Murphy said the company had been putting particular emphasis on beefing up crews in the southwestern shores of Nova Scotia, where Kyle was forecast to hit land, with wind speeds roaring at up to 130 kilometres an hour.

New Brunswick power authorities were making similar preparations.

Kyle reached hurricane strength late Saturday as it swept through and soaked New England.

As the storm reached the Maritimes, it was expected be either a "strong tropical storm or a marginal Category 1 hurricane," according to Canadian weather bulletins.

Aside from the high winds, "dangerously high" water levels and waves are expected, particularly in the coastal regions under warning.

New Brunswick residents were warned to expect heavy rain of up to 100 millimetres and localized flash flooding. Water levels in various Nova Scotia counties, such as Yarmouth, were expected to exceed a metre above normal levels.

Combined with "dangerous rough tides," this is all expected to lead to shoreline erosion and damage to coastal roads, docks and buildings.

The Canadian Red Cross issued a warning earlier for people to be prepared in the event of a major storm. Bill Lawlor, director of disaster management for the Red Cross in Atlantic Canada, said in a statement the Red Cross is placing its 650 disaster volunteers and 15 emergency response teams throughout the Maritimes on standby.





In anticipation of flooding and power outages, the Emergency Measures Organization in New Brunswick told the public to stock up on enough food, water and batteries to last three days. But Andy Morton, deputy director of the organization, says it's hard to tell how seriously the warnings were being taken.

"Well it's Sunday," he said. "I hope they are listening, and we hope they are heeding (the warnings) and time will tell."

"If you don't prepare and you get flooded, or your power is out, you will be disadvantaged," he added.


The spokesman said the impact of the storm could be similar to the devastation wrought by the ice storm of 1998. _Kyle is the 11th named storm this season in the Atlantic.

The hurricane already drenched Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Caribbean island of Hispaniola Saturday. Authorities in Puerto Rico said at least four people were killed and scores of homes were flooded.

Kyle is expected to hit Canada five years to the day after Hurricane Juan cut a swath of damage along Nova Scotia's East Coast. Between Sept. 28-29, Juan caused $100 million in damage as it unleashed winds of up to 176 km/h through Halifax Harbour, across Nova Scotia, and throughout Prince Edward Island.

The hurricane killed two people and nearly flattened Halifax's historic Point Pleasant Park, felling 70 per cent of the park's trees.

HURRICANE KYLE Continues to Blow Towards New Brunswick

Southern New Brunswick and southwestern Nova Scotia were battening down Sunday in anticipation of Kyle, the 11th named storm of the current hurricane season.

Kyle's track was expected to bring it ashore near Point Lepreau, N.B., just west of the city of Saint John late Sunday or early Monday.





"Our forecasts have the storm reaching new Brunswick at sub-hurricane strength," said Peter Bowyer of the Canadian Hurricane Centre.

He said current data suggests it will be post tropical when it hits but there was still the possibility Kyle could be a marginal category 1 storm with winds gusting to 120 kilometres an hour.

"The point we really want to stress is that the difference in strength between a category 1 hurricane and something a little bit less than that isn't really a lot," said Bowyer in commenting on the system's potential for causing damage.

Emergency Measures officials in New Brunswick were concerned that those living inland and away from the Bay of Fundy coast were not taking the storm warnings seriously enough.

"We're talking to people on the street and they're shrugging this off," said spokesman Ernie MacGillvray, noting the system is hundreds of kilometres wide.

"They need to understand there's going to be a whole bunch of impact and it could be a few days before phones and power is restored. So they need to be self-sufficient for two or three days."





All of New Brunswick is under a rain warning while wind warnings have been issued for new Brunswick's Bay of Fundy coastline and most of Nova Scotia.

Heather-Anne McLean of NB Power said repair crews were on standby and neighbouring utilities have been called to assist if needed.

"Essentially we're in a wait and see stage right now but we are prepared," said McLean.

"We have to keep in mind with all the trees still having their leaves the wind could cause some issues around power lines."

Bill Lawlor of the New Brunswick Red Cross said they were checking equipment and supplies to meet any need that might arise.

He was urging area residents to do the same.

"For instance do you have pets? Do you have enough pet food? Do you have someone on medication? Do you have enough medication to get by for the next few days?"

Lawlor said households should have enough food and other supplies to carry a family through 72-hours.

That includes making sure there's cash on hand because any extended power outages would leave automated banking machines off line.

A hurricane watch was posted for Yarmouth, Shelburne and Digby Counties in southwestern Nova Scotia where there are storm surge concerns.

"For the Yarmouth area we're concerned that as the storm is passing when the tide is at its highest things could line up and give some potential grief along the coastline," said Bowyer.





Wave heights coming in ahead of Kyle were not alarmingly high at only six to nine metres, he said.

"But if they combine with the tide they could give an effective increase at the coastline of about one metre."

Yarmouth Mayor Charles Crosby said his community was ready for Kyle and by sheer co-incidence the local emergency measures organization had scheduled a planning exercise for Sunday.

"It's been in the works for months so the EMO forces are out there today anyway so if anything does come they're prepared to go.

Crosby said some floating docks had already been taken up in advance of the storm and the usual warnings about stocking up on water and batteries had been issued to residents.

"I think people here are ready and they know what they should be doing," said Crosby.

"People here are going to ride it out. We're lucky here. The storms always seem to bypass us left or right but they know they have to be prepared."

The world will be watching as HURRICANE KYLE heads towards land in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. For LIVE WEB CAMERA VIEWS of the New Brunswick Coastline

HURRICANE KYLE Blows through MAINE as it Heads for CANADA

Heavy rain drenched Maine on Sunday and fishermen moved boats to shelter as Hurricane Kyle plowed northward across the Atlantic, triggering the state's first hurricane watch in 17 years.

Hurricane Kyle could make landfall in the Canadian provinces of Nova Scotia or New Brunswick sometime during the night or early Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.






A hurricane watch was posted along the coast of Maine from Stonington, at the mouth of Penobscot Bay, to Eastport on the Canadian border, and for southwestern Nova Scotia, the center said. Tropical storm warnings were in effect from Stonington to the coasts of southern New Brunswick and southwest Nova Scotia.

There were no immediate plans for evacuations in Maine.

Near the Canadian border, residents along the rugged coast are accustomed to rough weather, but that usually comes in snowstorms rather than tropical systems, said Washington County Emergency Management Agency Director Michael Hineman.

"Down East we get storms with 50 to 60 mph winds every winter. Those storms can become ferocious," he said. Down East is the rugged, sparsely populated area from about Bar Harbor to the Canadian border.

Many lobstermen moved their boats to sheltered coves, said Dwight Carver, a lobsterman on Beals Island. Some also moved lobster traps from shallow water, but most were caught off-guard by the storm's short notice.





"I'm sure we'll have a lot of snarls, a lot of mess, to take care of when it's done," Carver said. "It'll take us a few days to straighten things out."

In Lubec, the easternmost town in the U.S., town workers pulled up docks on the waterfront and fishermen moved boats across the harbor into Campobello Island, New Brunswick, which has coves and wharves that offer shelter.

"We're getting prepared," said Lubec Town Administrator Maureen Glidden.

Heavy rain lashed the state Sunday for a third straight day. As much as 5.5 inches had already fallen along coastal areas. Flood watches were in effect for the southern two-thirds of New Hampshire and southern Maine through Sunday evening.

Authorities expect wind gusts in Maine to reach up to 60 mph and waves up to 20 feet, said Robert McAleer, Maine Emergency Management Agency director.

Residents of coastal islands were advised to evacuate if they depend on electricity for medical reasons, because ferry service was expected to be shut down Sunday, McAleer said. Power failures also were likely over the north coastal region of the state, he said.

At 11 a.m. EDT Sunday, Kyle was centered about 140 miles east-southeast of Nantucket, or about 355 miles southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia, the National Hurricane Center said. It was moving toward the north-northeast at roughly 24 mph and expected to continue that track for the next day or so.





Kyle's maximum sustained wind was blowing at nearly 80 mph, with hurricane-force wind of at least 74 mph extending up to 70 miles out from the center.

However, it was expected to weaken as it moved over colder water and was expected to lose tropical characteristics on Monday, the hurricane center said.

Maine hasn't had a hurricane, or even a hurricane watch, since Bob was downgraded as it moved into the state in 1991 after causing problems in southern New England.

The deadliest storm to hit the region was in 1938 when a hurricane killed 700 people and destroyed 63,000 homes on New York's Long Island and throughout New England. Other hurricanes that have hit Maine were Carol and Edna in 1954, Donna in 1960 and Gloria in 1985.

A hurricane watch means hurricane conditions, with wind of at least 74 mph, are possible within 36 hours. A tropical storm warning means conditions for that type of storm, with wind of 39 to 73 mph, are expected within the next 24 hours.

Hurricane Kyle veered away from New England Sunday and sped its ripping winds and pounding rains straight toward southeastern Canada, the US National Hurricane Center said.

At 1500 GMT Kyle was moving north-northeast at 24 miles (39 kilometers) per hour with sustained winds of 80 miles an hour (130 kilometers an hour) with higher gusts, making it a category one storm on the five level Saffir-Simpson scale.

"The center of Kyle should pass east of the coast of Maine later today and tonight and move near or over Nova Scotia and New Brunswick tonight and early Monday," the center said in a statement.

The storm is expected to weaken as it passes over colder Canadian waters.

"The system should lose tropical characteristics on Monday," the center said.

Kyle was centered some 355 miles (575 kilometers) southwest of Halifax, Nova Scotia.

Canada posted a hurricane watch and tropical storm warnings in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick provinces.

The Maine Yacht Center in Portland, Maine, which is likely to take a beating from the storm if not a direct hit, said it had turned off the electricity and fuel lines at the marina, just in case.

"We've turned all the vessels toward the wind and right now there's no panic," dockmaster Alexandre Hofmann told AFP. "Boat owners keep calling to check on the marine forecaster reports," he said, adding "We're OK for now."

Saturday, September 27, 2008

HURRICANE KYLE UPDATE - Sept 27th 2008


Residents in Atlantic Canada are bracing for what could be a direct hit from Tropical Storm Kyle this weekend.

The storm could reach hurricane levels later today and emergency officials are telling residents in New Brunswick and Nova Scotia to take all necessary precautions in the hours before Kyle's arrival. It's expected to make landfall in Atlantic Canada as soon as Sunday morning.

Environment Canada's National Hurricane Centre reported that as of 5 a.m. ET on Saturday the storm was about 515 kilometres southwest of Bermuda and had maximum sustained winds of about 110 kilometres per hour.

Environment Canada is predicting that Kyle will pass directly over Saint John, N.B., and drop up to 100 millimetres of rain.

U.S. officials also warned that Kyle could grow into a hurricane by the time it reaches Canada's east coast on Sunday.

A system moving in advance of Kyle into the Maritimes is already in the region and may drop as much as 40 millimetres of rain, even before the worst of Kyle arrives.

While the fall months traditionally bring big storms to Canada's east coast, the Maritimes were ravaged in 2003 by Hurricane Juan's destructive winds and heavy rain.

The hurricane killed at least two people and cost about $100 million worth of damage in Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island.

Friday, September 26, 2008

HURRICANE KYLE - NEW BRUNSWICK LIVE WEB CAMERA'S

 




MORE NEW BRUNSWICK WEB CAMERA'S BELOW









































A few weeks ago Texas and New Orleans were hit
hard by Hurricane Gustav and Ike. This week, the Atlantic Ocean Storm season
is looking at battering the East Coast of Canada

HURRICANE KYLE is on a direct
bearing for SAINT JOHN NEW BRUNSWICK, not to be confused with SAINT JOHNS
NEWFOUNDLAND, which may also suffer a bit of HURRICANE KYLE's effect.


Environment Canada predicted Friday that tropical storm Kyle will pass
directly over Saint John, N.B., bringing up to 100 millimetres of rain and
sustained winds of 90 kilometres an hour. The forecast says there's a
possibility of coastal gusts reaching 120 kilometres an hour in southwestern
New Brunswick.



The Canadian Red Cross issued a news release
saying it was putting its volunteers on standby, as the storm is forecast to
make landfall on the fifth anniversary of hurricane Juan.

"Being on
standby essentially means being prepared, checking equipment and supplies .
. . especially since Kyle could pack some hurricane-force wind gusts," said
Bill Lawlor, Red Cross director of disaster management for Atlantic Canada.


"The Red Cross is placing on standby about 650 disaster management
volunteers."



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Hurricane Juan was a significant hurricane that
struck the southern part of Atlantic Canada in late September 2003. It was
the tenth named storm and the sixth hurricane of the 2003 Atlantic hurricane
season.

 
Juan formed southeast of Bermuda on September
24, 2003 out of a tropical wave that tracked into the subtropical Atlantic
Ocean. It strengthened gradually in the warm waters of the Gulf Stream,
reaching Category 2 strength on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale on
September 27 while continuing to track northward.


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It peaked at 105 mph (165 km/h) as it rapidly approached the coast of
Nova Scotia, losing little intensity over the cooler waters. Juan made
landfall between Shad Bay and Prospect in the Halifax Regional Municipality
early on September 29 while still a Category 2 hurricane. Juan retained
hurricane strength as it crossed Nova Scotia from south to north before
weakening to a tropical storm as it crossed Prince Edward Island. It was
absorbed by another extratropical low later on September 29 near Anticosti
Island in the northern Gulf of Saint Lawrence.

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Kyle, a tropical storm expected to hit New
Brunswick with near hurricane strength, will likely fizzle into a wind event
for Cape Breton late Sunday.

“The farther east you go in Nova Scotia the better the scenario is looking,
because you’re getting farther away from that storm track,” said Peter
Bowyer of the Canadian Hurricane Centre. “If there is rain, it’s not going
to be a lot with this track.”

Wind gusts of around 40 to 60 kilometres per hour are expected to begin in
Cape Breton late Sunday and continuing overnight.

 


HURRICANE KYLE Heading towards NEW BRUNSWICK

New Brunswick appears set to bear the brunt of a tropical storm that will be "just before hurricane force" when it hits the Maritime provinces late Sunday.

Environment Canada predicted Friday that tropical storm Kyle will pass directly over Saint John, N.B., bringing up to 100 millimetres of rain and sustained winds of 90 kilometres an hour.





The forecast says there's a possibility of coastal gusts reaching 120 kilometres an hour in southwestern New Brunswick.

Forecaster Peter Bowyer of the Canadian Hurricane Centre said that Kyle is difficult to predict because its strength may be boosted by weather in the upper atmosphere.

He said it's also possible the force of the winds and rain will be muted by the cool waters Kyle is expected to encounter over the Gulf of Maine.

"The details still elude us because it's all about what's happening in the higher part of the atmosphere as the storm gets a lot closer," said Bowyer, adding the centre has decided to take "the pessimistic scenario."

A system moving into the Maritimes ahead of Kyle will bring rain beginning late Friday and persisting through Saturday, with amounts between 10 and 40 millimetres.

Kyle is expected to enter the region on late Sunday, and add to the deluge in New Brunswick, southwestern Nova Scotia and western portions of Prince Edward Island.





The storm diminishes further to the east, meaning Halifax and Charlottetown will likely see lighter winds and rain, said Bowyer.

All together, weekend rainfall totals for the Maritimes could be somewhere between 80 and 140 millimetres in some locations - depending on Kyle's ultimate path.

On Friday afternoon, the tropical storm was located about 500 kilometres southwest of Bermuda, tracking north toward the Maritime provinces.

The Canadian Red Cross issued a news release saying it was putting its volunteers on standby, as the storm is forecast to make landfall on the fifth anniversary of hurricane Juan.

"Being on standby essentially means being prepared, checking equipment and supplies . . . especially since Kyle could pack some hurricane-force wind gusts," said Bill Lawlor, Red Cross director of disaster management for Atlantic Canada.

"The Red Cross is placing on standby about 650 disaster management volunteers."





The storm is expected to have passed through the Maritimes by Monday afternoon, with its remnants bringing rain and winds to Newfoundland and Labrador.

Bowyer said that Kyle is a fundamentally different storm from hurricane Juan, which started east of Bermuda and sustained its strength when it moved over unusually warm North Atlantic waters.

"Other than the fact they're five years apart, that's the only similarity. They're completely different entities," he said.

He said this time, the storm will move over cooler water, which should reduce its strength.

Nonetheless, Bowyer said "all of New Brunswick needs to be prepared for this storm."

He said the storm isn't expected to bring tidal surges that will threaten the coast.

HURRICANE KYLE Gathering Strength in Atlantic Ocean - Projected Path

The hurricane season still has a few punches left, it would appear. After the likes of Gustav, Hanna and Ike, Kyle is now on track to be a meaningful storm or hurricane. Currently, Tropical Storm Kyle is making itself different from Hanna and Ike in that it could hit the East Coast primarily. As the possible eleventh major storm to hit the United States this hurricane season, Tropical Storm or Hurricane Kyle could cause major storms for the East Coast this weekend. But Tropical Storm Kyle comes at the worst time for baseball, in particular.

Tropical Storm Kyle was spotted earlier this week forming 600 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. At the time, it had has progress of 8 mph and maximum winds of 45 mph. The potential Hurricane Kyle could arrive at the coastline this weekend, as it approaches the Atlantic with progress speed of 13 mph.





As of 8 a.m., Tropical Storm Kyle was 500 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. Maximum winds were closer to 60 mph, as it is approaching Bermuda. The island could get up to three inches of rain, as the west of Bermuda could get the strongest winds.

The National Weather Service warns that Tropical Storm Kyle is building in force as it comes closer to landfall. Once it does, heavy rain could fall in the East Coast. By Saturday, Kyle could actually become a hurricane.

However, the much more dangerous hurricanes of Gustav, Hanna and Ike eventually decreased in power by the time they actually reached land. The hope is that a Hurricane or Tropical Storm Kyle would do the same thing.

Even if rain storms aren't so bad over the weekend, they may do enough to damage a heated baseball playoff race. Heavy storms are expected over New York and Philadelphia as the Mets and Phillies finish their battle for the NL East division title. Rainfall already arrived in Washington and canceled a game between the Marlins and Nationals. The rains could force the Mets and Phillies to play doubleheaders at some point and cause a delay of the baseball postseason schedule.







HURRICANE KYLE AND CANADA
Some thoughts on Kyle as of Friday afternoon.......

1. Thunderstorms are still being pushed east of the storm center by westerly shearing winds, but I have looked at the satellite derived upper-level winds and it looks like Kyle will be moving into an area of much less wind shear starting tonight and into Saturday. If this is the case, the thunderstorms will be able to wrap around the center and the storm should intensify, probably to a category one hurricane. Kyle will also be moving over 80+ degree water through Saturday.

2. The storm is moving slightly west of due north and this should continue into Saturday before a gradual turn toward the right as the high pressure ridge to the northeast of Kyle begins to weaken.

3. Computer models are in pretty good agreement with the track, taking the center about 100 to 150 miles east of Cape Cod Sunday morning then racing it up into the Bay of Fundy Sunday afternoon.

4. Since Kyle remained buried down near the eastern Bahamas over the past couple of days the storm will no doubt be delayed up across the Maritimes. Yesterday I was thinking more of Saturday night and early Sunday, now it looks like the worst of the storm will be Sunday, but there will be plenty of rain well out ahead of it on Saturday as tropical air is lifted up over the cooler, maritime airmass.





5. The strongest winds with Kyle will be on the right side (eastern side) of the storm as the wind flow will be lined up from the surface to high in the atmosphere, so this puts the south coast of Nova Scotia in the region of highest winds.

6. Water temperatures north of 40 north are actually below normal, so Kyle should begin to slowly lose its tropical characteristics starting Sunday morning, but due to the fast movement of the storm by then it will only have a short window for weakening, so I think Kyle will be a strong tropical storm when it moves into the Bay of Fundy, but I think there will be hurricane force wind gusts along the south coast of Nova Scotia for a few hours on Sunday.

7. Heaviest rainfall will be right along and just west of the track and probably up through southern and eastern New Brunswick, including northwestern Nova Scotia and western PEI with amounts of 50-100 mm.

8. Power outages are certainly a concern over Nova Scotia and PEI on Sunday, so be prepared for that.

HURRICANE TRACKER