The hurricane season still has a few punches left, it would appear. After the likes of Gustav, Hanna and Ike, Kyle is now on track to be a meaningful storm or hurricane. Currently, Tropical Storm Kyle is making itself different from Hanna and Ike in that it could hit the East Coast primarily. As the possible eleventh major storm to hit the United States this hurricane season, Tropical Storm or Hurricane Kyle could cause major storms for the East Coast this weekend. But Tropical Storm Kyle comes at the worst time for baseball, in particular.Tropical Storm Kyle was spotted earlier this week forming 600 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. At the time, it had has progress of 8 mph and maximum winds of 45 mph. The potential Hurricane Kyle could arrive at the coastline this weekend, as it approaches the Atlantic with progress speed of 13 mph.
As of 8 a.m., Tropical Storm Kyle was 500 miles south-southwest of Bermuda. Maximum winds were closer to 60 mph, as it is approaching Bermuda. The island could get up to three inches of rain, as the west of Bermuda could get the strongest winds.
The National Weather Service warns that Tropical Storm Kyle is building in force as it comes closer to landfall. Once it does, heavy rain could fall in the East Coast. By Saturday, Kyle could actually become a hurricane.
However, the much more dangerous hurricanes of Gustav, Hanna and Ike eventually decreased in power by the time they actually reached land. The hope is that a Hurricane or Tropical Storm Kyle would do the same thing.
Even if rain storms aren't so bad over the weekend, they may do enough to damage a heated baseball playoff race. Heavy storms are expected over New York and Philadelphia as the Mets and Phillies finish their battle for the NL East division title. Rainfall already arrived in Washington and canceled a game between the Marlins and Nationals. The rains could force the Mets and Phillies to play doubleheaders at some point and cause a delay of the baseball postseason schedule.
HURRICANE KYLE AND CANADA
Some thoughts on Kyle as of Friday afternoon.......
1. Thunderstorms are still being pushed east of the storm center by westerly shearing winds, but I have looked at the satellite derived upper-level winds and it looks like Kyle will be moving into an area of much less wind shear starting tonight and into Saturday. If this is the case, the thunderstorms will be able to wrap around the center and the storm should intensify, probably to a category one hurricane. Kyle will also be moving over 80+ degree water through Saturday.
2. The storm is moving slightly west of due north and this should continue into Saturday before a gradual turn toward the right as the high pressure ridge to the northeast of Kyle begins to weaken.
3. Computer models are in pretty good agreement with the track, taking the center about 100 to 150 miles east of Cape Cod Sunday morning then racing it up into the Bay of Fundy Sunday afternoon.
4. Since Kyle remained buried down near the eastern Bahamas over the past couple of days the storm will no doubt be delayed up across the Maritimes. Yesterday I was thinking more of Saturday night and early Sunday, now it looks like the worst of the storm will be Sunday, but there will be plenty of rain well out ahead of it on Saturday as tropical air is lifted up over the cooler, maritime airmass.
5. The strongest winds with Kyle will be on the right side (eastern side) of the storm as the wind flow will be lined up from the surface to high in the atmosphere, so this puts the south coast of Nova Scotia in the region of highest winds.
6. Water temperatures north of 40 north are actually below normal, so Kyle should begin to slowly lose its tropical characteristics starting Sunday morning, but due to the fast movement of the storm by then it will only have a short window for weakening, so I think Kyle will be a strong tropical storm when it moves into the Bay of Fundy, but I think there will be hurricane force wind gusts along the south coast of Nova Scotia for a few hours on Sunday.
7. Heaviest rainfall will be right along and just west of the track and probably up through southern and eastern New Brunswick, including northwestern Nova Scotia and western PEI with amounts of 50-100 mm.
8. Power outages are certainly a concern over Nova Scotia and PEI on Sunday, so be prepared for that.
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