TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 3NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122009
200 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 2009
...IGNACIO MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH....
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST OR ABOUT 650
MILES...1040 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A TRACK BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS BEFORE IGNACIO REACHES COOLER WATERS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.1N 118.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB
1. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu is issuing advisories on tropical storm Hilda, located about 540 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Hilda is moving westward around 9 mph. Public advisories on Hilda are being issued under WMO header WTPA25 PHFO and under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP5. 
2. Poorly organized thunderstorms continue within a nearly stationary, west-southwest to east-northeast oriented surface trough located over 1000 miles southwest of Honolulu. Development within this trough is unlikely over the next 48 hours. 
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. EARLY MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE WAVE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM 
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 20 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AS IT COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM DANNY OR HURRICANE DANNY
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